Uncertainty Estimation for Classification Algorithms through Confusion Matrix Analysis

Description:

This technology improves upon traditional point estimates of model accuracy by implementing interval estimation techniques within Frequentist and Bayesian frameworks. Utilizing bootstrap and Monte Carlo sampling methods, it provides a robust measure of uncertainty for classification performance metrics, enhancing the reliability and interpretability of algorithm evaluations. The algorithm has been developed across multiple programming languages, supporting versatile integration and application.

 

Key Advantages:

  • Delivers interval estimates that capture uncertainty around model accuracy.
  • Incorporates both Frequentist and Bayesian statistical approaches for comprehensive analysis.
  • Utilizes advanced sampling techniques including bootstrap and Monte Carlo methods.
  • Enhances trustworthiness and decision-making in algorithm performance evaluations.
  • Multi-language codebases facilitate ease of adoption across platforms.

 

Problems Solved:

  • Overcomes the limitations of relying solely on point estimates for classification accuracy.
  • Addresses the need for uncertainty quantification in model evaluation.
  • Reduces risk of overconfidence in machine learning algorithm performance assessments.
  • Provides scalable and adaptable frameworks for uncertainty estimation.

 

Market Applications:

  • Machine learning model validation and benchmarking across industries.
  • Development of AI systems requiring rigorous performance guarantees.
  • Risk assessment tools in healthcare, finance, and autonomous systems.
  • Software platforms delivering analytics with uncertainty metrics for enhanced decision support.
  • Academic and industrial research focused on improving classification algorithm reliability.

 

Patent Information:
Title App Type Country Serial No. Patent No. File Date Issued Date Expire Date Patent Status
Uncertainty Estimation for Classification Algorithms through Confusion Matrix Analysis Provisional United States 63/843,850   7/14/2025   7/14/2026 Pending
Category(s):
Data/AI
Software
For Information, Contact:
Robert Reis
Licensing Associate
Texas State University - San Marcos
svj24@txstate.edu
Inventors:
Amir Liron
Francis Méndez Mediavilla
Keywords:
Machine Learning
Software
Statistical Analysis
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